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Canada and the World

        Current Events with a Canadian Perspective

 

Last update

19 November 2010

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How Climate Change

Will Affect Canada

 

An Ottawa think tank has released a report

predicting what global warming will do to Canada

 

“The physical effects of climate change on Canada in the next century could touch everything from human health and community infrastructure to water resources and even tourism and recreation activities.”

 

This is the conclusion of a report from the National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy. The report, Degrees of Change, was released in Ottawa October 5, 2010 and is contained in Canadian Geographic and Géographica magazines

 

The North

We’ve already seen changes in the form of less sea ice, snow cover, and permafrost; these trends will continue. More water will become navigable for longer periods. Farming and forestry will move northwards.

 

Polar bears, beluga whales, and caribou will become more vulnerable, but southern species will move farther north. Robins have already been seen in the Arctic.

 

The report says there will be “Challenges to maintaining traditional ways of life in Aboriginal Arctic communities…[those] with a limited capacity to adapt are particularly vulnerable.”

 

British Columbia

For what is sometimes called “The Wet Coast” there will be growing shortages of water and periods of sustained drought.

 

Forests will become more threatened by wildfires and destructive infestation of insects; Pacific salmon will be even more vulnerable than they are now.

 

Extreme weather and natural hazards will threaten networks and services that are important to human security.

 

The Prairies

Already troubled by sporadic water shortages, the Prairies will become more arid, triggering wildfires and crop failures “with economic impacts in the billions of dollars.”

 

More pests and diseases will show up because of warmer winters and this will also make it difficult to access remote communities over ice roads.

 

“Ecosystems [will be] affected by shifts in fire and insect disturbances, stressed aquatic habitats, and introduction of non-native species.”

 

Ontario

“More frequent disruptions to water treatment /distribution and energy generation/transmission.”

 

The Great Lakes will lose some of their oxygen, have lower water levels, and experience loss of fish.

 

High summer temperatures in southern Ontario will lead to water shortages and the increased heat will create smog and elevated health risks.

 

Forest-based and remote communities will be negatively impacted, although crop yields may increase by 40 percent and new foods will be grown and be available locally for longer periods.

 

Tourism will probably benefit with a longer summer season meaning more outdoor activities such as golf and swimming. However, the skiing season will be shorter or may disappear altogether in southern Ontario.

 

Quebec

Infrastructure will be weakened and northern communities will have trouble maintaining traditional lifestyles.

 

The health of the ecosystem will decline but there might be benefits for hydroelectricity generation.

 

The St. Lawrence River estuary will suffer from shoreline erosion and there will be more extreme weather

 

Atlantic Canada

The eastern seaboard will be subjected to more frequent and more severe storms as well as rising sea levels leading to coastal erosion and flooding; parts of Halifax and other coastal communities will be submerged.

 

Fish species will likely change although there will probably be more cod in northern waters. Agriculture and forestry may benefit.

 

Image credits

Terragen Landscapes

Greg Clarke

Tim Lindenbaum

Sookie

Paul Falardeau

Lisa Andres

 

Sources

Degrees of Change. National Roundtable on the Environment and Economy, October 2010

“The Silver Lining in Climate Change’s Clouds, John Ibbitson, Globe and Mail, October 6, 2010.

“Climate Change: Is this what the Future will be Like?” Adam McDowell, National Post, October 6, 2010.

 

© Canada and the World, October 2010

All rights reserved

“Citing studies from 2005 and 2009, the Degrees of Change report predicts that in a world a little more than two degrees hotter than today’s, summer western wildfires will engulf areas of two to four times current blazes.”

Adam McDowell, National Post, October 2010

 

 

The world is currently .78 degrees Celsius warmer than it was at the start of the Industrial Revolution.

Degrees of Change

Interactive Website

 

Intergovernmental Panel

on Climate Change