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19 November 2010

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Financial Collapse in Iceland

 

The people of Iceland have learned some economic lessons the hard way thanks to inexperienced bankers

 

Time Magazine’s Jonas Moody reported in January 2009 how the people of Reykjavik pelted the Iceland’s parliament building with eggs and yogurt, they broke windows, banged pots and pans, and tussled with riot police. A couple of thousand normally peaceful Icelanders gathered to tell their government how they felt about its economic policies.

 

They had reason to be angry because Iceland had gone bankrupt. Just a few months earlier the 2008 United Nations Human Development Index had picked Iceland as the best country in the world in which to live; it had one of the highest levels of Gross Domestic Product per person in the world at more than $35,000.

 

Iceland’s Right Wing Free Enterprise Policies

Things started to come unstuck for this happy nation of 300,000 people in the fall of 2008. However, the conditions for the collapse were created in 2002.

That’s when Iceland’s Prime Minister David Oddsson, a follower of the economic theories of Milton Friedman, privatized the banks. He also decided the country ought to become an international banking centre instead of a fishing nation.

 

Mr. Oddsson, a poet before he became a politician, encouraged this switch in a nation that had lots of fishers but almost no international bankers.

 

Spectacular Economic Growth Built on Speculation

In 2002, the Iceland had three banks that were small by global standards with just a few billion dollars in assets among them.

 

Michael Lewis, writing in the April 2009 issue of Vanity Fair says that, “Over the next three and a half years they grew to over $140 billion and were so much greater than Iceland’s GDP that it made no sense to calculate the percentage of it they accounted for. It was, as one economist put it to me, ‘the most rapid expansion of a banking system in the history of mankind.’ ”

 

Icelanders started borrowing huge amounts of money to buy stocks whose value rocketed upwards, as did the value of housing and land in Reykjavik, the capital. Also, they started speculating in foreign currencies.

 

Mr. Lewis wrote that, “By 2006 the average Icelandic family was three times as wealthy as it had been in 2003, and virtually all of this new wealth was in one way or another tied to the new investment-banking industry.”

 

Icelandic Financial Bubble Bursts

The government took a hands off approach. Icelanders were making so much money at the financial roulette table that any attempt at regulation would have been extremely unpopular.

 

In October 2008, the end came swiftly and painfully. The global financial squeeze exposed Iceland’s banking system; it was built on a pile of debt it couldn’t pay back.

 

The banks collapsed, nobody would accept Iceland’s currency at any price, and the value of stocks on the Icelandic exchange plunged 85 percent. In January 2009, the government fell.

 

The BBC reported (January 2009): “Both households and firms had borrowed extensively in foreign currency and with the collapse of the exchange rate were seeing the value of their debt explode. Iceland imports most goods, so when the exchange rate collapsed, the cost of essentials shot up.”

 

The International Monetary Fund says Iceland’s economy  shrank by 10 percent in 2009 and the country’s prospects won’t start improving until 2011.

 

Image credit

NASA

 

Sources

“Global Financial Crisis Claims Iceland.” Jonas Moody, Time, January 26, 2009.

“Wall Street on the Tundra.” Michael Lewis, Vanity Fair, April 2009.

“Waking up to Reality in Iceland.” Jon Danielsson, BBC, January 26, 2009.

“Bye Bye Big Mac.” Associated Press, October 29, 2009.

 

© Canada and the World, August 2010

All rights reserved

Government of Iceland

Kira Nerys

 

“Iceland's three McDonald's restaurants - all in the capital Reykjavik - will close next weekend, as the franchise owner gives in to falling profits caused by the collapse in the Icelandic krona.”

Associated Press, October 2009

 

“When their three brand-new global-size banks collapsed, last October, Iceland’s 300,000 citizens found that they bore some kind of responsibility for $100 billion of banking losses—which works out to roughly $330,000 for every Icelandic man, woman, and child.”

Michael Lewis, Vanity Fair, April 2009